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Gone for Good: Deindustrialization, White Voter Backlash, and U.S. Presidential Voting

Populism in Place: The Economic Geography of the Globalization Backlash

A populist backlash to globalization has ushered in nationalist governments and challenged core features of the liberal international order. Although startling in scope and urgency, the populist wave has been developing in declining regions of …

The COVID-19 Pandemic and the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election

The Service Economy: U.S. Trade Coalitions in an Era of Deindustrialization

Services dominate the US economy and are increasingly traded across borders yet little is known about service firms’ trade policy objectives or lobbying activities. We fill this gap by examining services’ political engagement on trade policy as …

Service Firms in the Politics of U.S. Trade Policy

Despite the importance of services in international trade and in the support of global production activities, studies of the political economy of trade liberalization tend to focus on goods trade and the preferences of manufacturing firms and their …

Winners and Losers in International Trade: The Effects on U.S. Presidential Voting

International trade directly influences US presidential elections. We explore the electoral implications of the increasing tradability of services and the large US surplus in services trade. Our paper builds on prior work showing that job insecurity …

The Distributional Consequences of Preferential Trade Liberalization: Firm-level Evidence

While increasing trade and foreign direct investment, international trade agreements create winners and losers. Our paper examines the distributional consequences of preferential trade agreements (PTAs) at the firm level. We contend that PTAs expand …

The Influence of Firm Global Supply Chains and Foreign Currency Undervaluations on U.S. Trade Disputes

International trade directly influences US presidential elections. We explore the electoral implications of the increasing tradability of services and the large US surplus in services trade. Our paper builds on prior work showing that job insecurity …

Unbundling the Relationship between Authoritarian Legislatures and Political Risk

A strong statistical association between legislative opposition in authoritarian regimes and investment has been interpreted as evidence that authoritarian legislatures constrain executive decisions and reduce the threat of expropriation. Although …