select

Inflation, Blame Attribution, and Voting in the 2022 US Congressional Elections

Technology and the Future of Capitalism: Attitudes Toward Market Institutions in an AI-Driven Economy

Do Exchange Rates Influence Voting? Evidence from Elections and Survey Experiments in Democracies

Gone for Good: Deindustrialization, White Voter Backlash, and U.S. Presidential Voting

Populism in Place: The Economic Geography of the Globalization Backlash

A populist backlash to globalization has ushered in nationalist governments and challenged core features of the liberal international order. Although startling in scope and urgency, the populist wave has been developing in declining regions of …

The COVID-19 Pandemic and the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election

The Service Economy: U.S. Trade Coalitions in an Era of Deindustrialization

Services dominate the US economy and are increasingly traded across borders yet little is known about service firms’ trade policy objectives or lobbying activities. We fill this gap by examining services’ political engagement on trade policy as …

Service Firms in the Politics of U.S. Trade Policy

Despite the importance of services in international trade and in the support of global production activities, studies of the political economy of trade liberalization tend to focus on goods trade and the preferences of manufacturing firms and their …

Winners and Losers in International Trade: The Effects on U.S. Presidential Voting

International trade directly influences US presidential elections. We explore the electoral implications of the increasing tradability of services and the large US surplus in services trade. Our paper builds on prior work showing that job insecurity …

The Distributional Consequences of Preferential Trade Liberalization: Firm-level Evidence

While increasing trade and foreign direct investment, international trade agreements create winners and losers. Our paper examines the distributional consequences of preferential trade agreements (PTAs) at the firm level. We contend that PTAs expand …